Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Cockamamie Theories: No meatballs for you!

A quick theory, if you'll indulge us, on the Jays' recent offensive struggles.

This lineup is filled with guys who are dead red fastball hitters. Scutaro, Wells, Lind...they are all guys who can hammer the fastball but have trouble with breaking balls. Because pitchers early in the season are still working on their stuff and need to rely on their fastball to get pitches over, those guys were filling their boots in the first few weeks and turning those heaters around in a hurry.

Now, a few weeks into the season, pitchers are feeling more confident in their off speed pitches and are throwing them earlier in the count for strikes. The Jays hitters, still following their Cito-Approved Plan of looking for a fastball to hit, are whiffing on those pitches, beating them into the ground or connecting weakly on them for lazy pop outs.

(Of course, we don't have any actual data to support this claim. So we'll throw it out there and let those who are much more clever than us prove us wrong.)

The Return of RickRo
In the midst of the worst losing streak of the season, here's hoping that Ricky Romero (2-0, 1.71 ERA, 13 Ks and 4 BBs) finds the form that he displayed earlier this season, and leaves behind the form that he showed in his rehab starts. (Perhaps the magic touch of Brand Arnsberg will cure RickRo of all wildness.)

48 comments:

Anonymous said...

That's a spicey meatabollsss

Tao of Stieb said...

They make me so hungry.

eyebleaf said...

This is all Tim Wakefield's fault. Junk-balling bastard.

Darren Priest said...

I see this weekend is All You Can Eat. You can put on a yellow hachimaki (for some reason) and scarf down hot dogs until your heart explodes. I wish I could be there.

Drew - LtB said...

Not to be the guy that rains on the parade of sadness but:

Vernon Wells splits versus power/finesse pitchers:

Power: .205/.262/.205/.467
Finesse: .275/.341/.450/.791

P/F pitchers: .283/.336.467/.803

So there's that. FML

Ian H. said...

Actually, that theory might not actually be too far-fetched. It seems like everyone in the top 5 spots in the lineup is swinging for the fences at either the 1st or 2nd pitch. Maybe it's time for Gene Tenace to sit down with these boys and develop a different plan of attack.

And yes eyebleaf, I blame it all on Old-Timer Wakefield.

eyebleaf said...

How about Vernon and Barajas switch spots in the lineup?

Tao of Stieb said...

We may have said somewhere that we were worried about Wake's knuckler buggering up their swings for the next week. Next time, we'll keep our mouth shut.

LtB - Nice work on proving us wrong, although we could quibble a bit on that. To wit:

VW might be overpowered by a 95-99 MPH fastball from a Power Pitcher, but he could take an 88 MPH fastball from a finesse pitcher and launch it into orbit. (And those dudes have to throw a fastball at some point.)

Anonymous said...

drama is the spice

The Ack said...

Ricky is going to puff his chest out and do Arnie proud tonight.

Fuck losing.

Bruno Van Rottweiler said...

Drew, not to be too much of a contarian BUT Vernon sucks right noe. PERIOD! It's cool that we can break it down sabermetrically but Wells is not an elite player while he makes big time money. In addition, there were people on DJF who claimed he would opt out??!! Unh? There is no way that he will make 20 mill plus elsewhere , so the Jays are stuck with him. And unfortunately Rios for the next umpteen years. Very sad affair but those bloody meatballs look damn good!

eyebleaf said...

Two months of under-production from both Wells and Rios does not mean we're stuck with their contracts until the end of days.

Vernon was our best hitter last season, and he missed almost two months. So, some patience, especially when April and May are his worst months.

As for Rios, man, I think a benching would do him some good. His head hasn't seemed to be in the game since the season started.

Torgen said...

They're still getting meatballs. They're just fouling them off or taking them for strikes.

DoubleA said...

In 2002, the Angels had a stretch of 2-8 with a 6 game losing streak.
In 2003, Florida had two 6 game losing streaks.
In 2004, Boston had one 5 game losing streak & two 4 game losing streaks.
In 2005, the ChiSox had a stretch of 1-9 with a 7 game losing streak.
In 2006, the Cards had two 8 game losing streaks & one 7 game losing streak.
In 2007, Boston has three 4 game losing streaks.
In 2008, the Phils had a stretch of 3-11 with a 7 game losing streak.

Those teams went on to do VERY well. Let's end it tonight!

Tao of Stieb said...

@Double A

Problem is, only one of those teams plays in the AL East.

The 2006 Cardinals won 82 games that season...a number which wouldn't get the Jays anything close to a sniff at the pennant (!!!!1) or Wild Card.

Your point is well taken, but still...

Torgen said...

The '08 Rays' 7 game losing streak going into the All Star break is well documented. The '08 Red Sox had two 5 game losing streaks.

Anonymous said...

Double A your analysis should get you sent down.

eyebleaf said...

BURN!!!!!!!!!1

Tao of Stieb said...

Then again, we're not saying that this losing streak is the end of the season by any stretch.

The Tao believes.

Anonymous said...

eyebleaf,

Your name alone would get you sent down.

PS your analysis sucks too.

eyebleaf said...

Thanks Anon. I'm packing my bags, and shutting down my blog.

Anonymous said...

uh oh, the DJF idiots are making their way here

Bruno Van Rottweiler said...

@ Eyebleaf, I did a search for Lazy Rios and found something from 2005 about Rios! He was chastised by JP for his lazy play back then,too. It was deja' vu to the max degree. He really needs to get an Arod pulled on him AND be dropped to 8th or benched to teach him a lesson.

@ Anon coward, put a name to those sleazy comments. At least the Red Pox asshole gave a fucking name! You are know as the Anonymous Bone Smuggler! or Asshat eater! Eyebleaf is one of DA BOYS, idiot. Attack him with some intelligence NOT with stupidity.....

Ian H. said...

I would almost prefer to be sent down to the minors anyway. If there's anything that I've learned from watching Major League 3 and Bull Durham, it's that all the boozing and adultery happens in the minor leagues. No pressure, just good old times in double and triple play ball.

Viva Las Vegas!

eyebleaf said...

That's what I love about Anonymous commenters. They won't put their name to their scintillating comments, but they're more than happy to flog me on my choice, and my "analysis." Keeping it classy, as always.

And Tao, I hope you enjoyed that smoke. The bats are going to make sure you don't come near that carton.

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